Borrowed from the Daily Kos
“People will believe a big lie sooner than a little one; repeat it frequently enough people will believe it.”
Yes, it is time to bring out the risky Hitler card. No. I don’t see Trump as a budding mass murderer, but when it comes to unfettered lying the comparison seems more than fair, especially in recent days. Trump is in overdrive to produce that big lie by election day.
I haven’t written since my failed judgement that Judge Kavanaugh would lose his battle for confirmation, not because that devastated me – I figured my prediction was chancy – but because I have been overwhelmed by the wave of subsequent events and Trump’s misleading statements and lies about them.
The issue these days is often not really what occurred, but the ability of one side or the other to shape the narrative. In the Kavanaugh hearing the Democrats saw Blasey Ford as the victim, and her testimony was very convincing, but by the end Republicans had made Kavanaugh the victim of a sneaky last minute attack. The odd situation made it seem like a trial of Kavanaugh, and as such one is innocent until proven guilty.
That wins the narrative battle, as indicated by Trump often sighting Kavanaugh and the Democrats not mentioning Blasey Ford. That event seems to have revved up more Republicans and those “tweeners” than those of us who are already never Trumpers. We just became sicker and angrier.
But what is most striking at the moment is the untethered flourish of hyperbole, fabrications and distortions – yes, even more than usual – that Trump is churning out now. He just makes things up by the hour, such as the middle class tax cut his team is hoping to pass before the election, with no evidence of that, perhaps because there are not enough days before the election to pass anything. It just sounds good.
The lie provides one more mental sugar plum for voters heading to the poles. There is no stated progress with North Korea on denuclearization, either, but he keeps acting as if there were and its better than his ranting. So, one more sugar plum….
Trump creates problems and then boasts about fixing them. But it is the image of his fixing the problem that sticks in our minds. He says we should pull out of a missile deal we have with Russia, so now his Security Adviser Bolton is there talking with them. My guess is he’ll come back with good news, promises of working together. Another sugar plum.
It is the latest flurry of outright lies that is most Hitleresque, though, such as the image he has created of the caravan of refugees heading here from Central America, an image of terrorists and MS13 and rapists (and lions and tiger and bears, oh my!). No matter he has no evidence for any of this according to several sources, including Fox News.
Shepard Smith, the director of news there (real news as opposed to the opinion misshapers headed up by Hannity) examined the situation and reported: “Fox News knows of no evidence to suggest the president is accurate on that matter.”
In doing so, he contradicted the theory of the evil invasion cooked up on Fox and Friends that morning, which quite likely was Trump’s “news source”. (Read this for some details.) In case you don’t know, Trump calls the Friends often giving the impression many of his spur of the moment “insights” originate there.
Over the next two weeks or so Trump will say and do anything to make his administration look good, including more baseless promises and warrant-less accusations. A recent poll shows Trump with a 47% approval rating and reports of early voting suggest Republicans are off to a better start.
So frankly I am scared that too much of the big lie will be bought by too many.
Permit me to use that tired saw: You can’t make these things up. I’d say that fits the whole Trump presidency, but there’s something extra juicy about this. Two people of sterling reputations (well, at least until they are totally slimed by the opposite side this week), on course to call each other liars face to face under oath in a Senate hearing next Monday.
At stake is whether Judge Kavanaugh will be named to the Supreme Court or not, since only a handful of senators who would otherwise back him, may not now, depending on who they believe once the gun smoke settles.
As you probably know, Christine Blasey Ford, a professor and research psychologist, has accused Kavanaugh of sexual assault when both were in high school decades ago. She raised this issue in letters to Senators which she hoped would remain confidential, but once leaked, she decided to go all in and here we are.
I believe Ford’s recollection over Kavanaugh’s, first because she is inviting hell into her life by stepping forward, so she must believe deeply in the righteousness of her stand. And second because Kavanaugh was quite a drinker in high school and college as well, something that has failed to draw attention until now.
To whatever extent he was an eagle scout, he was also a party guy. According to a friend with him that night, Mark Judge, such drunken escapades were not rare for him and his friends.
When hearing of the accusations against his friend, Judge called them “absolutely nuts”. But this is from a pal who wrote a book titled: Wasted: Tales of a Gen X Drunk, in which he talks about being “wild drunk” with girls along with his friends. (Go here to read more.)
Judge has confessed to “bouts of dehumanizing lust.” I imagine Kavanaugh has some confessing to do as well. I’ll be curious to see if he tries to maintain his complete innocence as a youth or come clean.
Blasey Ford’s lawyer went too far in indicating in a TV interview that her client would probably have been raped had the boys not been too drunk to pull it off. How about the possibility that the boys would not have acted quite so badly had they not been so drunk? Still, acting like asses, still guilty of molestation, but that is not rape even if Blasey Ford feared that would happen.
Whatever happened that night, Blasey Ford clearly feels she was assaulted and Kavenaugh would do well to deal with that in a humane way instead of insisting “it” never happened and acting as if he were some kind of choir boy back then.
All these things pushing Trumpty to the ledge. Like Omarosa and her book and a few tapes and then this past week Bob Woodward’s book Fear, both supporting frequent reporting of a witless president in a wacky White House. Of course, the account of Watergate press hero Woodward is to be much more respected, but Omarosa’s credibility could be bolstered by more tapes.
Either way it is all grease for Trumpty’s slippery slope. The plea deals of former fixer/sort-of-personal lawyer Michael Cohen and, just a few days ago, former Trump campaign manager Paul Manafort seem likely to generate numerous revelations that will push Trump over the edge.
Some time ago Cohen offered all sorts of info to the feds in hopes of preventing a prison cell from becoming a permanent home. And now Trump campaign manager (for a crucial five months) Paul Manafort has decided to take his chances with clemency in a similar fashion.
Talk about knowing where all the bodies are buried. These guys have run the cemetery.
I have assumed Manafort was gambling on a pardon. Why else would he deny everything in his first court case that led to several convictions? But the odds seem to have changed in his mind. Trusting Trump on anything is iffy (unless what is good for you is great for him), but there is an additional consideration now.
This plea shows Manafort placing his chips on some clemency from Mueller if he comes clean rather than a pardon from Trump if he doesn’t.
Perhaps he has concluded Trump might not be around to grant him that pardon.
A new essay in the Economist explores that question, while stating: ” Revelations and convictions will eventually force America to face” that simple question.
In my last post I advocated attempts by pro anti Trumpers to develop civil discussion. But if we are to have a civil discussion we should begin with that question and what it means to people. Trump has shown many signs he has no regard for the rule of law when it gets in his way. And it hasn’t seemed to faze many of his backers.
Some of that I understand because most often Trump doesn’t break the law but finds ways to work around it. For example, now he is holding up the possibility of a pardon for Paul Manafort, which he legally can do but shows a contempt for the law itself and all the work of prosecutors and juries to decide the case. And equally bad it provides signs to anyone in legal struggles that reflect on Trump that he has the power to save them.
The revelations and convictions of the past week suggest that we are getting beyond the endless speculation to hard facts. I firmly believe the “real Trump” is about to be proven to be a crook and a phony. I just heard this morning that Allen Weisselberg, the CFO of the Trump organization for decades is getting an immunity deal, which follows one given to David Pecker, the executive in control of the National Enquirer and long time Trump friend.
You don’t get an immunity deal if you don’t have much evidence to offer on bigger fish. Both men should have much to reveal about how Donald Trump and his family have operated, so I suggest we suspend my idea of trying to find a platform for discussing Trump until it has been decided how big of a crook we are talking about.
I don’t imagine having much civil discourse with Trump supporters any time soon, but I can’t give up on the desire. When civil discourse totally breaks down it leads to one thing, a civil war. No, not soon but down the line. We did that once and I hope it was enough. I got a recent whiff of the negative potential on a pro-Trump placard. “Liberals: If Trump is impeached, you’d better get your guns.”
So, I welcomed running across a video clip of Bill Maher and Ben Shapiro conversing civilly about Trump, heated at times, but civilly, lightened by Maher’s humor. It helps to be a comedian as well as a sharp political commentator.
Generally speaking, Shapiro is a conservative while Maher has liberal tendencies, but has no qualms about skewering liberal taboos (e.g. he has argued that Islam is not a peaceful religion). And they do share the commonality of disliking many things Trump does.
The big difference is Shapiro sees good in enough of what Trump has done – from a conservative perspective – that despite all (so far), he still would take him over any Democrat. I doubt if Maher has given trump credit for much.
Both men are very smart and each gives a good account of his positions. Think of the conversation as a template of what civil discourse can be and perhaps a beginning point for further conversations. Also, it points to the usefulness of injecting some wit to lighten the overall load.
Of course, not with the Trump fanatics who would stick with Trump even if he shot someone on New York’s Fifth Avenue.
Here is a link to the video which is 11 minutes, so you might want to plan a break and grab a drink in preparation. I enjoyed the conversation, something I seldom do when it comes to political discussions these days.
Rudy Giuliani exploded on the Washington scene last week, supposedly coming on board the Trump legal team, but acting independently in what seemed like a loose cannon being shot at them. He blabbed all sorts of contradictory statements and misstatements on various political talk shows, beginning with Hannity last Wednesday.
Giuliani seemed to be making Trump’s legal status worse off. Turns out he hadn’t gone rogue, as he’d cleared much of what he would say with Trump, therefore surprising the legal team but not the president, who later seemed pleased with his work and kept him out there babbling. I suspect the two bluster boys are working in tandem and let the legal team be damned.
I am guessing this reflects a decision by Trump that Mueller has the goods on him and he can’t escape this legally, so best to put all his money on winning the political game in the fall and afterwards. Don’t agree to an interview or accept a subpoena and take it all the way to the Supreme Court next year. Who knows? There might be a new Trump friendly Supreme by then.
Meanwhile, just make the investigators look bad, so you have an excuse for not complying with their demands. Trump has been driving his “witch hunt, no collusion” mantras into our brains for months in preparation for this shift in emphasis and the ongoing Giuliani show tells me Trump hopes his political narrative will save him where the law will not.
And part of that thinking is the Stormy Daniels case is a loss, but the kind of thing that Trump can use as an ongoing distraction because the media loves to cover it. In the end, assuming Trump doesn’t perjure himself, what will the government do, fine him? Convict him of some minor lie? The guy that has rattled off about 3000 of them so far in office according to the Washington Post?
I think this kind of disproportionate coverage contributes to a sense of investigation fatigue as captured by this guy who tweeted to a cable host this Saturday: “….. the length of the probe is making most of us numb to the issues that are lead stories in liberal media. Wrap it up and let Potus do his job.”
Of course, his base buys the whole witch hunt argument already, but even for non fanatics, if you are numb to the issues and want Trump free to do his job you just might be swayed by the great salesman’s relentless credit taking for everything deemed good in 2018, while ignoring the positive trends already well established during the Obama years.
I’m worried about numbed voters and I get nervous when I hear someone talking about an expectant “blue wave” in the fall elections. Although I’d like to see one, so much seems a matter of how events smile or frown on the Trump presidency in the intervening months and how well Trump can sell his “witch hunt” narrative to those who feel numb to the issues and wonder why so much media time was being spent on such things as a porn star and her lawyer over a hush money payment that may have broken campaign financing laws.
What does that have to do with our major problems? Hate to say it, but it seems kind of witch hunty to me. Not the actions per se, but the way the liberal media dwells on them.